Bruins Playoff Chances May Be “Swayed” By Goaltending

Boston Bruins rookie goaltender Jeremy Swayman has been a pleasant surprise this season. Coming into the 2021-22 season, Bruins management was unsure if the 23-year-old netminder would be ready to take on the number one goalie role from the retired Tuukka Rask. Instead of entering the season with two rookie goalies, the Bruins signed former Buffalo Sabres goalie Linus Ullmark to a 4-year, $20 million contract and traded the other rookie, Daniel Vladar, to Calgary.

When Rask decided to make a comeback attempt in January, Swayman was sent to Providence in the American Hockey League. It looked as if Swayman would get some seasoning in the minors, and Rask and Ullmark would be the Bruins’ goalies. But Rask’s comeback ended after just four starts, and a new opportunity arose for the former University of Maine-Orono star, who would pounce on it.

Swayman would eventually be the top goalie with excellent numbers, particularly after his call-up. From February 12th through March 12th, Swayman would go 9-0-1 as the Bruins surged back into the Atlantic Division race. The Bruins had their heir apparent to Rask and Tim Thomas before him. From 2006 to 2021, the Bruins had excellent goaltending and knew that they had come to the postseason. Now, it looked like Swayman was about to continue that trend.

However, a deeper look into the Anchorage, Alaska native’s numbers may be cause for pause. Swayman is just 5-8-2 against teams who are currently in the playoff picture, including a loss to Toronto on March 29th, where the goaltender allowed six goals. Furthermore, in Swayman’s nine regulation losses, the netminder’s goals-against average is 3.99 with a .862 save percentage. And here is a strange stat: Swayman’s goals against is 2.76 at home and 1.73 on the road. Typically a rookie goalie will perform better at home, but not in this case.

There were reports early on this season that the Bruins may deal Swayman to improve the roster for a playoff push. But as the goalie’s performance elevated, general manager Don Sweeney made Swayman untouchable and would not include the goalie in a blockbuster trade with Arizona for defenseman Jacob Chrychrun. Boston went from being unsure of Swayman to depending on the rookie to carry the team into the playoffs. Swayman might be great in the postseason, and Ullmark is still a decent insurance policy, but it is still an unknown for a team that has question marks on their third defensive pair. A position that was stabilized for the better part of fifteen seasons now has some uncertainty.

Now, here is some more uncertainty. Jeremy Swayman has not faced the team that the Bruins would face if the season ended today, the Florida Panthers. If the Bruins face the Tampa Bay Lightning, Swayman won his only game against them but allowed five goals. And if the Carolina Hurricanes are the opponent, Swayman is 0-1 against them. Overall, Jeremy Swayman has been very good and, at times, even great, but it is still yet to be determined just how good the Bruins goaltending will be this postseason.

Episode 48. The Matt Grzelcyk Episode Bruins Benders Podcast

Fabian Lysell is the Bruins’ “top” prospect, jersey ads are here, David Pastrnak is not at captains’ practice and rookie camp begins!
  1. Episode 48. The Matt Grzelcyk Episode
  2. Episode 47. The Torey Krug Episode
  3. Episode 45. Live From Lops Brewing!
  4. Episode 46. Guess Who’s Back, Back Again!
  5. Episode 44. The Dog Days of Summer

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